U. Católica vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 1
IQU
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 0
ANT
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
NTA
54%
25%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |