U. Católica vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
COR
2 - 2
UCO
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
COQ
1 - 1
UCO
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
TIG
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ANT
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
EVE
2 - 0
ANT
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 1
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
HUA
2 - 0
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ANT
3 - 0
MAG
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |