Unitas 30 vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unitas 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
TZA
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HVC
2 - 2
UNI
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 4
TOP
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
RRH
2 - 4
UNI
38%
22%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NEM
7 - 3
UNI
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ALV
2 - 2
BRA
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HVC
1 - 1
ALV
46%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SCN
2 - 0
ALV
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
RRH
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
WOE
0 - 3
ALV
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |