Union Titus Pétange vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
14º
4º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Titus Pétange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
TPE
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TPE
4 - 2
DIF
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 2
TPE
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
TPE
25%
22%
52%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TPE
5 - 2
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 0
UNA
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ULU
1 - 3
SWI
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
USH
83%
12%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KOB
2 - 1
SWI
3%
9%
88%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
KAE
2 - 3
SWI
10%
16%
74%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |