Club Unión Central vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Unión Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
BLO
1 - 0
UNI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
STR
0 - 0
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
RPO
2 - 0
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 1
BLO
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 2
AUR
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
AUR
3 - 1
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
RPO
5 - 4
AUR
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
JWI
2 - 2
AUR
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |