Union Sur Yaiza vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
16º
12º
51
1º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UPR
3 - 2
YAI
66%
19%
14%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
YAI
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
YAI
1 - 2
LPA
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
YAI
0 - 1
TAM
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 0
YAI
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 0
EST
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
TAM
0 - 2
UDS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
0 - 1
PAN
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 3
UDS
12%
18%
69%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |