Unión Santa Fe vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 2
CAU
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CAU
0 - 1
RAF
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 1
CAU
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
CAU
2 - 1
SMA
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 2
CAU
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
FER
1 - 3
TFE
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 0
FER
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FER
1 - 1
INS
34%
29%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 2
FER
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FER
1 - 0
IRV
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |