Unión San Felipe vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
16º
16º
37
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 1
USF
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
BAR
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 0
USF
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
ANT
22%
25%
52%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 2
USF
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 3
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 1
DSC
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
0 - 1
DLS
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |