Unión San Felipe vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
COQ
2 - 0
USF
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
USF
2 - 1
UNI
36%
25%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
CSL
3 - 2
USF
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
USF
1 - 1
UCH
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
HUA
3 - 0
USF
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 0
CSD
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
SWA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
CON
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |