Unión San Felipe II vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FVC
1 - 1
USF
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
USF
2 - 1
RTI
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UEI
0 - 4
USF
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
USF
4 - 2
DCO
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
3 - 3
UEI
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DCO
3 - 3
CDM
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CDM
4 - 1
CCI
32%
25%
42%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 3
CDM
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CDM
0 - 0
IBE
41%
25%
35%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |