Union Saint-Gilloise vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 1
UNI
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
DEN
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +4 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
TOU
68%
18%
13%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
BER
0 - 2
EXC
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
HUY
0 - 1
EXC
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 2
EXC
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TOU
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |