Union Saint-Gilloise vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
VWH
0 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 2
WAA
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
KSV
0 - 0
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 0
TUB
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
ZUL
23%
25%
53%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
WAA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
KSV
4 - 1
EXC
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 0
ANT
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
KFC
1 - 2
EXC
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 1
PAT
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |