Union Perg vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNP
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
UNP
1 - 0
NEU
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 1
UNP
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UNP
1 - 1
SSM
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 4
UNP
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 0
VOC
35%
25%
41%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 0
GRI
16%
20%
65%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GRI
4 - 2
GMU
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 1
GRI
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 1
GRU
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |