Union Omaha vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
OMA
25%
24%
50%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
OMA
0 - 0
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 3
OMA
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
KCW
6 - 0
OMA
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
OMA
0 - 2
GTR
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
TUC
1 - 1
NCO
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
TUC
1 - 1
GTR
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TUC
0 - 1
RIC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CRW
1 - 2
TUC
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CVF
0 - 0
TUC
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |