Union Mertert vs Schengen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
74.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
16º
54
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SYR
2 - 1
UME
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UME
0 - 4
ESC
19%
18%
63%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 3
UME
76%
15%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UME
1 - 5
KOE
20%
19%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
UME
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 2
RSM
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 3
FOL
7%
9%
84%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 3
SCH
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USS
1 - 2
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
SYR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |