Union Mertert vs Schengen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
74.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
16º
16º
54
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SYR
2 - 1
UME
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UME
0 - 4
ESC
19%
18%
63%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 3
UME
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UME
1 - 5
KOE
20%
19%
62%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
UME
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Schengen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 2
RSM
77%
15%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 3
FOL
7%
9%
84%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBB
2 - 3
SCH
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USS
1 - 2
SCH
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 0
SYR
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |