Union Mertert vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
BWI
2 - 2
UME
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UME
1 - 1
BER
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
YBW
0 - 0
UME
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
UME
0 - 0
ESC
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
UME
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
OBE
7 - 2
SAN
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
OBE
4 - 6
BER
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BWI
1 - 2
OBE
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 4
BER
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
YBW
4 - 0
OBE
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |