Union Mertert vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UME
4 - 1
USS
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ERP
0 - 1
UME
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UME
1 - 1
JEU
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KAE
0 - 0
UME
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
OBE
1 - 5
UME
15%
19%
66%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ATE
5 - 1
KOE
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
KOE
2 - 2
ESC
34%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
5 - 0
KOE
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KOE
1 - 1
WIL
21%
23%
57%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BWM
2 - 4
KOE
34%
23%
43%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |