Union Marina vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Marina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
CFP
3 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAH
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
TER
6 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
UNV
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
VIC
3 - 2
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
TAH
1 - 2
ARU
8%
15%
77%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
ARU
3 - 1
UNV
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
UDS
0 - 1
ARU
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ARU
3 - 1
UDB
64%
21%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
TEL
0 - 0
ARU
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |