Copa Colombia Group E Round 4

Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis

Unión Magdalena Real Cartagena
72 ELO 66
3.2% Tilt -2.7%
615º General ELO ranking 636º
19º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
60.1%
Unión Magdalena
21.9%
Draw
18%
Real Cartagena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
Unión Magdalena
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18%
Win probability
Real Cartagena
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Unión Magdalena
Real Cartagena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unión Magdalena
Unión Magdalena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2019
UNI
Unión Magdalena
4 - 0
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
42%
27%
31%
71 74 3 0
03 Apr. 2019
REA
Real Santander
3 - 3
Unión Magdalena
UNI
15%
20%
65%
71 55 16 0
31 Mar. 2019
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
47%
27%
26%
71 72 1 0
28 Mar. 2019
JUN
Junior
1 - 1
Unión Magdalena
UNI
63%
22%
14%
70 82 12 +1
24 Mar. 2019
TOL
Deportes Tolima
1 - 0
Unión Magdalena
UNI
56%
25%
19%
70 79 9 0

Matches

Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2019
CAR
Real Cartagena
3 - 2
Internacional de Palmira
COR
54%
23%
23%
65 62 3 0
31 Mar. 2019
BOG
Bogotá
1 - 0
Real Cartagena
CAR
29%
27%
44%
67 56 11 -2
25 Mar. 2019
CAR
Real Cartagena
2 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
55%
24%
22%
65 63 2 +2
20 Mar. 2019
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 0
Real Santander
REA
67%
19%
14%
66 56 10 -1
17 Mar. 2019
LLA
Llaneros
0 - 2
Real Cartagena
CAR
46%
26%
28%
65 64 1 +1