Unión Magdalena vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
AGU
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 1
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
RSC
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 1
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 3
ALI
65%
21%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
ONC
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
CAR
5 - 2
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CUC
2 - 0
CAR
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
RSC
1 - 0
CAR
18%
25%
58%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |