Lara FC vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
SCG
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
LAR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
CDS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
SCG
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
URE
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
URE
2 - 2
CDS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 3
URE
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
URE
3 - 2
LOT
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |