Tercera Division Andalusia and Melilla Round 26

Unión Estepona vs Marbella FC analysis

Unión Estepona Marbella FC
34 ELO 29
4.5% Tilt -10.3%
20731º General ELO ranking 2632º
6399º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
68.5%
Unión Estepona
18.7%
Draw
12.8%
Marbella FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
Unión Estepona
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
Marbella FC
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Unión Estepona
Marbella FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unión Estepona
Unión Estepona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2013
VEL
Vélez CF
3 - 1
Unión Estepona
EST
42%
25%
33%
37 32 5 0
09 Feb. 2013
EST
Unión Estepona
2 - 2
Casino Real CF
CAS
67%
19%
14%
37 29 8 0
03 Feb. 2013
VIL
CD Villacarrillo
1 - 0
Unión Estepona
EST
42%
26%
33%
38 35 3 -1
27 Jan. 2013
EST
Unión Estepona
2 - 1
At. Malagueño
MAL
47%
25%
28%
37 40 3 +1
20 Jan. 2013
PAL
El Palo FC
2 - 2
Unión Estepona
EST
53%
23%
24%
37 35 2 0

Matches

Marbella FC
Marbella FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2013
MAR
Maracena
2 - 2
Marbella FC
MAR
48%
26%
26%
28 29 1 0
10 Feb. 2013
MAR
Marbella FC
0 - 4
Vélez CF
VEL
46%
25%
29%
30 30 0 -2
02 Feb. 2013
CAS
Casino Real CF
1 - 1
Marbella FC
MAR
43%
27%
30%
30 29 1 0
27 Jan. 2013
MAR
Marbella FC
1 - 1
CD Villacarrillo
VIL
37%
26%
38%
30 35 5 0
20 Jan. 2013
MAL
At. Malagueño
2 - 0
Marbella FC
MAR
72%
18%
11%
31 39 8 -1