Unión Estepona vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 2
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
EST
3 - 0
SRQ
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SEV
1 - 0
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 0
EST
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
RJA
34%
28%
39%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 1
RJA
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROQ
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |