Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
COQ
2 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 2
ACS
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 4
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
IQU
3 - 2
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
GOD
1 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 2
CUR
51%
26%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 1
UCO
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 3
OLI
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
IQU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |