Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 2
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 3
DLS
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 5
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 2
HUA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
NUB
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |