Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
SWA
2 - 1
UNI
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 1
ACS
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
COL
5 - 1
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 3
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CON
5 - 2
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
COR
2 - 0
UCO
73%
16%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UCO
1 - 0
USF
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 1
COR
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
COB
0 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
BOC
3 - 2
UCO
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |