US Cosne vs AS La Chapelle Guinchay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
7º
15
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Cosne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
SOC
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 1
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
BFC
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
UNI
17%
19%
63%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CSL
2 - 2
UNI
65%
18%
16%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
AS La Chapelle Guinchay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SEL
2 - 2
LCG
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LCG
1 - 3
PON
16%
20%
65%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RVA
2 - 0
LCG
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
LCG
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LCG
2 - 2
DIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | +2 |