Unión Comercio vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AYA
0 - 1
COM
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
GAR
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SRP
2 - 1
UTC
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
SPC
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 2
UTC
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 3
GAR
38%
27%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
UTC
0 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |