Inca Cup Round 10

Unión Comercio vs Sporting Cristal analysis

Unión Comercio Sporting Cristal
64 ELO 76
-1.1% Tilt 0.2%
2459º General ELO ranking 763º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.2%
Unión Comercio
24.6%
Draw
48.2%
Sporting Cristal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.2%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unión Comercio
-19%
+2%
Sporting Cristal

ELO progression

Unión Comercio
Sporting Cristal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2014
GAR
Cusco FC
3 - 0
Unión Comercio
COM
64%
21%
15%
64 73 9 0
06 Apr. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 0
San Simón
SAN
39%
24%
38%
64 69 5 0
30 Mar. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
0 - 0
León de Huánuco
LEO
39%
26%
35%
64 69 5 0
23 Mar. 2014
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 0
Unión Comercio
COM
58%
24%
18%
64 73 9 0
15 Mar. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
43%
24%
33%
64 66 2 0

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2014
LEO
León de Huánuco
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
34%
26%
40%
76 70 6 0
06 Apr. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
0 - 3
Cusco FC
GAR
67%
19%
14%
77 73 4 -1
29 Mar. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
San Simón
SAN
71%
17%
12%
77 69 8 0
22 Mar. 2014
AUR
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
5 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
47%
24%
29%
78 74 4 -1
16 Mar. 2014
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
66%
19%
15%
78 73 5 0