Apertura Peru Round 1

Unión Comercio vs Los Caimanes analysis

Unión Comercio Los Caimanes
65 ELO 69
1.5% Tilt -0.4%
2380º General ELO ranking 21741º
23º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
37.3%
Unión Comercio
28.1%
Draw
34.6%
Los Caimanes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.6%
Win probability
Los Caimanes
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Unión Comercio
Los Caimanes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2014
LEO
León de Huánuco
4 - 3
Unión Comercio
COM
50%
24%
26%
65 71 6 0
11 May. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
32%
25%
43%
65 75 10 0
04 May. 2014
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
51%
24%
25%
65 66 1 0
27 Apr. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
3 - 2
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
AUR
33%
26%
42%
64 73 9 +1
19 Apr. 2014
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
27%
25%
48%
64 76 12 0

Matches

Los Caimanes
Los Caimanes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 May. 2014
CIE
Cienciano
0 - 3
Los Caimanes
LOS
33%
25%
42%
71 65 6 0
10 May. 2014
LOS
Los Caimanes
1 - 4
Univ. San Martín
SAM
53%
23%
24%
71 68 3 0
03 May. 2014
MEL
FBC Melgar
1 - 1
Los Caimanes
LOS
46%
25%
29%
71 71 0 0
25 Apr. 2014
LOS
Los Caimanes
1 - 1
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
59%
22%
19%
72 67 5 -1
18 Apr. 2014
LOS
Los Caimanes
2 - 3
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
47%
24%
29%
72 73 1 0