Unión Comercio vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
GAR
4 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
COM
1 - 2
HUA
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
UTC
2 - 1
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COM
0 - 2
BIN
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 1
HUA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
BIN
0 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUN
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 2
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |