Union club vs Peñacastillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
UNI
28%
24%
48%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
6 - 3
TCD
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LIE
1 - 2
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
FOC
20%
21%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
MFC
28%
23%
49%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Peñacastillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
CDV
25%
22%
53%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SSD
2 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ISD
4 - 1
PEÑ
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
COM
52%
22%
27%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TCD
6 - 1
PEÑ
50%
22%
28%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |