UC Ceares vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+242%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
CEA
0 - 0
LUA
23%
28%
50%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SMA
0 - 0
CEA
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
CEA
1 - 1
CAN
33%
27%
41%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
ATL
1 - 1
CEA
84%
12%
4%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
CEA
1 - 3
ATL
17%
26%
58%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
LLA
1 - 1
NAI
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NAI
1 - 1
NAR
75%
17%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 2
NAI
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COL
1 - 4
NAI
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
NAI
0 - 0
CAU
21%
27%
52%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |