Union Carrascal vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VDO
3 - 3
UCA
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ROZ
2 - 0
UCA
72%
16%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UCA
3 - 2
EFC
27%
22%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MOB
2 - 0
UCA
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UCA
0 - 3
TVA
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LUL
2 - 1
ROZ
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EFC
0 - 1
LUL
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LUL
3 - 2
MOB
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TVA
3 - 0
LUL
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 4
LUL
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |