Union Bremen vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
13º
8º
44
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 4
UNI
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
46%
20%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BTN
3 - 2
UNI
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
GEE
25%
19%
56%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 5
SVH
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 0
OSC
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GEE
1 - 4
SGA
42%
21%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 3
SGA
28%
21%
51%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 5
SGA
75%
14%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SGA
6 - 3
BRI
58%
18%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |