Unidos do Alvorada vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unidos do Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MEC
5 - 0
UDA
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 1
SAO
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
UDA
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 2
PFC
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
UDA
59%
21%
19%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
PFC
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 3
MAN
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
MEC
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAN
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |