Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 1-3
Atlético Cearense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
POT
1 - 1
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
ARN
23%
29%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
IGU
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
UNI
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
SDJ
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CSE
2 - 1
ITA
34%
29%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
PET
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 1
RFC
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
SER
2 - 0
ITA
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |