União RS vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
JAC
0 - 0
URS
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
URS
2 - 1
PAS
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 1
URS
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
URS
2 - 1
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ECA
2 - 2
URS
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SAP
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAP
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAP
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SAP
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 1
ECJ
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |