Gaucho 2 Four-team tournament Round 1

União RS vs Pelotas analysis

União RS Pelotas
45 ELO 51
-5.6% Tilt -2.4%
6038º General ELO ranking 5333º
245º Country ELO ranking 190º
ELO win probability
36.3%
União RS
27.9%
Draw
35.7%
Pelotas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
União RS
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.7%
Win probability
Pelotas
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
União RS
-6%
+31%
Pelotas

ELO progression

União RS
Pelotas
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União RS
União RS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2016
SLU
São Luiz
0 - 0
União RS
URS
36%
27%
38%
46 43 3 0
01 Jun. 2016
URS
União RS
0 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
36%
28%
36%
47 52 5 -1
29 May. 2016
TUP
Tupi RS
1 - 2
União RS
URS
34%
25%
41%
46 42 4 +1
22 May. 2016
URS
União RS
2 - 2
Esportivo BG
ESP
50%
26%
25%
46 45 1 0
19 May. 2016
ESP
Esportivo BG
0 - 2
União RS
URS
44%
26%
30%
45 46 1 +1

Matches

Pelotas
Pelotas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2016
GUA
Guarani RS
0 - 1
Pelotas
PEL
37%
28%
35%
50 46 4 0
02 Jun. 2016
PEL
Pelotas
3 - 0
São Gabriel
SGA
47%
25%
28%
49 48 1 +1
29 May. 2016
PEL
Pelotas
4 - 1
EC Avenida
ECA
53%
25%
22%
48 44 4 +1
26 May. 2016
BRA
Brasil Farroupilha
1 - 0
Pelotas
PEL
45%
28%
27%
49 51 2 -1
15 May. 2016
PEL
Pelotas
2 - 1
Brasil Farroupilha
BRA
39%
27%
34%
48 49 1 +1