União RS vs Marau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
URS
1 - 1
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MFC
1 - 4
URS
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
URS
3 - 1
SLU
31%
27%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
URS
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
URS
1 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
MFC
0 - 2
SLU
21%
23%
57%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MFC
1 - 4
URS
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
TUP
4 - 1
MFC
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CAX
3 - 1
MFC
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MFC
1 - 0
SAN
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |