Gaucho 2 Knock-out stages Final
Global 5-0
União RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
URS
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
URS
3 - 1
LAJ
52%
24%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 1
URS
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
URS
3 - 1
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
URS
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
URS
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
ECA
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ECA
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |