União Nogueirense U19 vs Valadares Gaia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
9º
4º
27
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
NOG
25%
20%
55%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NOG
2 - 0
PAD
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOG
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 0
FEI
52%
22%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LAM
2 - 2
NOG
9%
15%
76%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LEX
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
VAL
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
VAL
21%
20%
59%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 2
PEN
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 2
VAL
37%
22%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |