União Nogueirense U19 vs Espinho U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
4º
3º
25
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
NOG
19%
20%
61%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NOG
2 - 2
LEX
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 5
NOG
8%
13%
79%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NOG
4 - 1
PAD
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 4
NOG
42%
22%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espinho U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 0
PEN
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 3
SOU
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEX
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 0
LAM
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 4
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |