União Nogueirense U19 vs Espinho U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
9º
4º
17
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FEI
2 - 1
NOG
25%
21%
53%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOG
3 - 0
LAM
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 0
NOG
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEX
4 - 3
NOG
30%
22%
48%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NOG
1 - 1
LUS
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ESP
0 - 1
LEX
26%
21%
54%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 4
VAL
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
ESP
35%
22%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 0
PAD
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |