Paulista A3 Round 8

União Mogi vs Bandeirante SP analysis

União Mogi Bandeirante SP
18 ELO 45
3.8% Tilt -0.8%
12574º General ELO ranking 7033º
467º Country ELO ranking 283º
ELO win probability
20.4%
União Mogi
22.3%
Draw
57.3%
Bandeirante SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
União Mogi
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57.3%
Win probability
Bandeirante SP
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
União Mogi
-35%
-34%
Bandeirante SP

ELO progression

União Mogi
Bandeirante SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União Mogi
União Mogi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2009
AUD
Audax São Paulo
2 - 1
União Mogi
UNI
79%
14%
7%
18 56 38 0
01 Mar. 2009
UNI
União Mogi
0 - 0
Grêmio Prudente
GRE
22%
23%
56%
16 41 25 +2
21 Feb. 2009
NAC
Nacional SP
5 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
80%
13%
7%
16 44 28 0
15 Feb. 2009
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 4
Força e Luz
FEL
29%
24%
48%
17 28 11 -1
11 Feb. 2009
BAT
Batatais
3 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
78%
14%
8%
18 47 29 -1

Matches

Bandeirante SP
Bandeirante SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2009
BAN
Bandeirante SP
1 - 1
Inter de Limeira
INT
58%
22%
20%
45 41 4 0
01 Mar. 2009
BAN
Bandeirante SP
1 - 3
Audax São Paulo
AUD
32%
24%
44%
46 56 10 -1
21 Feb. 2009
PEN
Penapolense
3 - 0
Bandeirante SP
BAN
57%
22%
21%
47 51 4 -1
15 Feb. 2009
BAN
Bandeirante SP
2 - 1
Francana
FRA
30%
24%
46%
46 57 11 +1
11 Feb. 2009
FEL
Força e Luz
2 - 5
Bandeirante SP
BAN
29%
24%
47%
45 29 16 +1