União de Leiria vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
UDL
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LEX
3 - 2
UDL
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
UDL
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 2
SLB
17%
23%
61%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VST
0 - 4
UDL
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAD
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
RIO
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
NAV
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
VST
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |