União de Leiria vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
UDL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 2
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
SCP
3 - 0
UDL
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 3
UDL
82%
13%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 0
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 1
GFC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 1
LYO
51%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |