Campeonato de Portugal . Jor. 18

União de Leiria vs Riachense analysis

União de Leiria Riachense
49 ELO 31
-9.5% Tilt -2.5%
2160º General ELO ranking 20370º
36º Country ELO ranking 333º
ELO win probability
71.7%
União de Leiria
18.4%
Draw
10%
Riachense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
União de Leiria
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10%
Win probability
Riachense
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

União de Leiria
Riachense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

União de Leiria
União de Leiria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2015
SER
Sertanense
3 - 1
União de Leiria
UDL
43%
27%
31%
50 49 1 0
04 Jan. 2015
CAL
Caldas
0 - 0
União de Leiria
UDL
33%
26%
40%
50 46 4 0
28 Dec. 2014
UDL
União de Leiria
2 - 0
Alcanenense
ALC
64%
21%
15%
50 40 10 0
21 Dec. 2014
ATL
Atlético Ouriense
0 - 1
União de Leiria
UDL
17%
22%
62%
50 27 23 0
14 Dec. 2014
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 1
Eléctrico
ELE
59%
23%
18%
50 45 5 0

Matches

Riachense
Riachense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2015
ATL
Riachense
2 - 3
Caldas
CAL
25%
25%
50%
32 46 14 0
04 Jan. 2015
ATL
Atlético Ouriense
1 - 2
Riachense
ATL
38%
23%
39%
32 27 5 0
28 Dec. 2014
ATL
Riachense
1 - 4
Fatima
FAT
43%
24%
33%
33 38 5 -1
21 Dec. 2014
TOR
Torreense
1 - 0
Riachense
ATL
65%
21%
15%
34 46 12 -1
14 Dec. 2014
ATL
Riachense
2 - 2
Sertanense
SER
21%
24%
56%
33 48 15 +1
X