União de Leiria vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
7º
2º
40
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VST
0 - 3
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 1
REA
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
54%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
AMO
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
REA
1 - 2
ALV
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |