União de Coimbra vs FC Alverca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
13º
11º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SER
0 - 2
COI
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POM
3 - 2
COI
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 2
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 4
PEN
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BEN
6 - 1
COI
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
ALC
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCA
27%
22%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |